Under Review

Contreras, G., M. Morales and F. Belmar. "Pathways of Claim-Making: Direct Appeals, Organisational Mediation, and Clientelism." Under review. Article available upon request.

Contreras, G. and M. Morales. "Democracy, Political Mobilisation and Invalid Votes: New Evidence from Latin America, 1980–2025." Under review. Article available upon request.

Contreras, G. and P. Navia. "Targeting Beyond Class: Civic Participation and Vote-Buying in Chile." Under review. Article available upon request.

Contreras, G. and M. Morales. "The Pragmatic Citizen: Claim-Making on the Local State Regardless of Who Governs." Under review. Article available upon request.

Working Papers

Contreras, G. "The Civic Basis of Vote-Buying: Evidence from Latin America and Africa." Article available upon request.

Contreras, G., O. Peña, P. Sosa and M. Arce. "Signalling Responsiveness Through Party Labels: Evidence from Peru." Working paper presented at APSA 2026.

Contreras, G. and N. De La Cerda. "A Model of Clientelistic Propensity: How Short-Term Economic Shocks Shape Voters' Receptivity to Clientelism." Working paper presented at IPSA 2025 and APSA 2025.

Contreras, G., J. Lechartre and J. Pérez Sandoval. "Challenges and Practicalities of Research Designs in Subnational Research." Working paper presented at MPSA, April 2025.

Contreras, G. and M. Morales. "Reversing Class Bias and Rural Abstention: Evidence from Reduced Fines for Not Voting in Chile." Working paper.

Contreras, G. "Drivers of Clientelism: Socioeconomic, Organizational, or Interactive Effects?" Working paper.

Contreras, G. "Placebo Reasoning in Process Tracing." Article available upon request.

Contreras, G. "Mixing the Qualitative Toolkit: The Integration of Interviews and Participant Observation in Process Tracing." Article available upon request.